Gallagher’s 5% organic growth looks modest - until you compare it with the competition

With results now in from all five listed brokerages, Gallagher is the only one that stayed purely focused on what it does
Gallagher’s 5% organic growth looks modest - until you compare it with the competition
INSURANCE NEWS
By Josh Recamara
30 Oct 2026

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. grew its combined brokerage and risk management businesses 5% organically in the third quarter, a result that looks unremarkable until you set it against what its larger rivals have reported across the past two weeks.

Total brokerage and risk management revenues before reimbursements reached US$3.93 billion, up from US$3.33 billion a year earlier. Adjusted earnings per share rose to US$3.00 from US$2.31. The 26th consecutive quarter of double-digit adjusted EBITDAC growth continued a streak that has run through hard markets, soft markets, and two of the largest acquisitions in the sector’s recent history.

“These results demonstrate the strength and resilience of our diversified model as market conditions evolve,” said chairman and chief executive J. Patrick Gallagher Jr. “As risk becomes more complex, our clients continue to value our advice, advocacy, analytics and market access.”

How the peer group results stack up

All five listed global brokers have now reported for the third quarter, and the divergence across them is striking.

Marsh reported 8% revenue growth in its October 15 results, but underlying growth in Risk and Insurance Services - the broking engine - ran at around 3% as soft pricing weighed on the segment. Its consulting arm, which includes Oliver Wyman and Marsh Management Consulting, grew faster than the broking business, prompting CEO John Doyle to tell analysts Marsh could become “the most impactful professional services firm in the world.”

Aon, reporting on October 28, posted 6% organic growth in its Risk Capital segment - the unit most closely resembling traditional broking - but its headline was dominated by the near-doubling of its debt load as the US$17 billion USI acquisition approaches. Aon’s total debt at September 30 stood at around US$26.3 billion, up from US$14.7 billion at the start of the year, with S&P on negative outlook. The USI close, integration of NFP and a workforce restructuring programme are all running simultaneously.

WTW, also reporting on October 29, saw its risk and broking segment recover to 5% organic growth after a 2% first quarter that wiped 12% off its share price and prompted management to acknowledge missed new business targets. The recovery is real, but WTW is structurally the most different of the four: its Health, Wealth and Career segment - benefits consulting, retirement and compensation advisory - generated more than half its revenue and the majority of its operating profit in the first half of 2026. WTW is simultaneously running Propel, a US$625 million AI transformation programme, with the heavy costs hitting margins before the savings materialise.

Brown and Brown, the fifth of the listed pure-play brokers, reported organic growth of just 1.2% earlier this week, blaming soft commercial and specialty pricing.

What makes Gallagher different

As IB explored in a detailed analysis of the three largest firms published last week, Aon and Marsh remain brokerages by financial measure - roughly two-thirds of their revenue and around three-quarters of their profit comes from risk and insurance placements. WTW is a genuine hybrid, earning the majority of both revenue and profit from its advisory and consulting arm.

Gallagher sits differently to all three. It is unambiguously a broker - its only separately reported non-broking business is Gallagher Bassett, its claims management arm, which contributes around 10% of revenue. Its benefits and consulting work sits inside the brokerage segment and counts as broking. It is not managing the tension between broking and consulting margins, investing billions in workforce transformation, or absorbing the debt of a US$17 billion acquisition.

That focus appears to be paying off in a market where rate momentum is easing. Gallagher’s brokerage adjusted EBITDAC margin widened to 35.3% from 33.3%, though that comparison is partly flattered by approximately US$76 million of interest income that sat in the prior-year quarter from the cash raised for AssuredPartners. Stripping that distortion out, the underlying improvement is narrower - but the direction is consistent. Risk management organic fees grew 10%.

Gallagher completed five brokerage acquisitions in the quarter, adding an estimated US$102 million in annualised revenues, and 19 for the year to date. The release does not break out results by geography.

What the full peer group picture means for the market

The pattern across this reporting cycle confirms what rate data has been showing for several quarters. Pure broking organic growth is under pressure as commercial property pricing eases and large specialty markets soften. Firms that generate material revenue from fee-based advisory - benefits consulting, retirement, management consulting - are less exposed to that compression, because their income does not move directly with premium rates.

Gallagher’s model has one component worth watching closely: its supplemental and contingent revenues, which are payments from insurers for hitting volume and profitability targets. Supplemental revenues grew 14% organically in the quarter, which is a healthy sign. Contingent revenues were flat - the most market-sensitive element of a broker’s income, and one that tends to reflect the previous year’s performance as much as the current quarter’s conditions.

For independent and regional brokers reading this quarter’s results across the sector, the collective signal is consistent. Firms with the broadest revenue bases and most diversified income streams are navigating softening conditions most comfortably. Those relying most heavily on property and specialty commission flows are feeling the pressure most acutely. Across all five listed brokers, new business production - not rate momentum - is now the primary growth driver.

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