INTERPOL's Asia-Pacific cyber report: what Australian insurers need to understand

New granular threat assessment of cybercrime across the Asia and South Pacific region - findings sit uncomfortably alongside current market conditions

INTERPOL's Asia-Pacific cyber report: what Australian insurers need to understand

Cyber

By Matthew Sellers

The INTERPOL Asia and South Pacific Cyber Threat Assessment 2025/2026  has just been released – and it covers January 2024 to March 2025. It is a law enforcement intelligence product, not an insurance market analysis, which actually makes it a more useful document for Australian underwriters than most of what lands on their desks. INTERPOL has no pricing agenda. It is simply reporting what 18 member countries told it about the cybercrime environment they are operating in - and Australia is among those countries.

The assessment documents a region recording more than 135,000 ransomware attacks in 2024, with deepfake-related discussions on criminal forums surging 600% in five months, DDoS attacks climbing 92%, and scam centre operations generating close to $40 billion annually. More than half of member countries reported cybercrime accounting for over 30% of all nationally recorded crime. System intrusions caused approximately 80% of all regional data breaches, with malware present in 83% of cases and ransomware in 51%.

Australia is not a peripheral market in this picture. QBE's Q1 2026 data found that the time between an attacker gaining initial access and deploying ransomware has fallen 70% since 2021 - from roughly 100 minutes to around 30. In some incidents, thousands of devices within a single organisation were encrypted in under 10 minutes. That pace is consistent with the industrialised, AI-accelerated attack model INTERPOL documents across the region.

Data analysis

Asia-Pacific cyber threats: volume vs insurance severity

Each bubble is one of the top five cybercrime types ranked by INTERPOL across 18 member countries. Horizontal: case volume. Vertical: insurance claims severity. Bubble size: pace of escalation. Hover for detail.

High vol / High severity High severity / Lower vol Moderate severity / High vol Emerging / Accelerating
Ransomware: high volume, very high severity. Online scams: very high volume, high severity. Banking trojans: high volume, moderate severity. BEC: moderate volume, high severity. Deepfakes: lower volume, escalating severity.

Ransomware avg claim

$508,000

+16% YoY · At-Bay 2025

Scam centre losses

~$40bn/yr

UNODC est · INTERPOL

Social engineering claims

+233%

YoY · Aon APAC 2025

Deepfake forum activity

+600%

Feb–Jun 2024 · INTERPOL

Sources: INTERPOL Asia and South Pacific Cyber Threat Assessment 2025/2026; Willis Cyber Claims in Focus 2026; DUAL Global Cyber Outlook April 2026; At-Bay 2025 Cyber Claims Report; Aon APAC Cyber Risk Report 2025; UNODC TOC Convergence Report 2024. Axis positions are indicative indices.

Deepfakes as a claims category

In February 2024, a Hong Kong employee transferred $25 million after deepfakes were used to impersonate executives on a video call. In March 2025, a Singapore finance director nearly lost over $499,000 in a near-identical Zoom-based attack. INTERPOL's report frames these as representative of an accelerating pattern, not isolated incidents.

Australian insurers are already being asked whether existing policy language adequately addresses AI-driven threats including deepfake CEO impersonations, with cyber risk specialists noting that traditional actuarial methods relying on historical claims data are increasingly inadequate for pricing threats that did not exist at meaningful scale when most policy wordings were drafted. The INTERPOL report adds law enforcement weight to what insurers have been hearing from the incident response community.

Mandatory reporting and the regulatory compliance weapon

Among INTERPOL's emerging threat findings, one is directly relevant to Australian brokers advising clients on ransomware response. Threat actors are now threatening to report alleged regulatory compliance violations to regulators unless ransoms are paid - a second coercion vector that operates independently of whether the insured has usable backups.

Australia's Cyber Security Act 2024 introduced mandatory ransomware payment reporting from May 2025 for businesses with annual revenue above $3 million. Any payment to a threat actor triggers disclosure obligations to the Australian Signals Directorate within 72 hours - creating precisely the regulatory framework that INTERPOL identifies as a new lever for extortion. Brokers advising clients on ransom response need to ensure the regulatory dimension is as central to incident response plans as the technical recovery dimension.

The market pricing question

Data analysis

The threat-premium divergence: Asia-Pacific, 2022–2026

Four threat indicators indexed to 100 at 2022 (left axis, rising = worsening). International cyber insurance rates indexed to 100 at Q4 2023 (right axis, falling = softening market). The growing gap represents the pricing tension facing London market underwriters.

Ransomware attacks DDoS attacks  UK cyber claims Avg ransomware claim  Cyber rates (right axis)
Ransomware index: 100 (2022) to 215 (2024). DDoS index: 100 (2022) to 227 (2024). UK cyber claims index: 100 (2023) to 330 (2024). Avg ransomware claim index: 100 (2022) to 144 (2025). Cyber insurance rate index: 100 (Q4 2023) to 57 (2026 projected).

The pricing gap: International cyber insurance rates have fallen 43% since Q4 2023 (DUAL, April 2026), while UK cyber claims hit £197m in 2024 — a 230% year-on-year increase (ABI). S&P Global Ratings has forecast a 15–20% premium increase in 2026 as claims severity catches up.

Sources: INTERPOL Asia and South Pacific Cyber Threat Assessment 2025/2026; ABI (UK claims £197m in 2024, +230% vs 2023 — UK series indexed from 2023=100); DUAL Global Cyber Outlook April 2026 (−43% from Q4 2023); At-Bay 2025 Cyber Claims Report (+16% to $508k); S&P Global Ratings 2026. Ransomware and DDoS indices are directional, derived from INTERPOL-cited growth rates applied to index base. 2026 figures indicative only.

The Australian cyber insurance market remains stable overall with ample capacity and competitive pricing, according to Gallagher's analysis. That stability exists despite a threat environment that INTERPOL has now formally characterised as one of the most acute in the world. The INTERPOL report covers the period to March 2025. The threat landscape heading into 2026 is structurally more dangerous: more organised, more AI-enabled, and - as INTERPOL's report documents - more industrialised than the environment that underpins current pricing.

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