Gold cover exodus was underway before the rebate bill arrived
A widening price gap between top and mid-tier cover is pushing the downgrade decision from optional to financially compelled for a growing share of older policyholders
Gold cover exodus was underway before the rebate bill arrived
LIFE & HEALTH
By Roxanne Libatique
07 Oct 2026

A peak body representing more than 5.4 million Australians has renewed its call for senators to reject legislation that would remove the age-based private health insurance rebate for Australians 65 and older – warning the change will force pensioners and lower-income retirees to pay more for cover at the stage of life when they need it most.

Members Health Fund Alliance made the call on October 7, the same day the Senate Community Affairs Legislation Committee released its report recommending the Private Health Insurance Amendment (Modernising the Private Health Insurance Rebate) Bill 2026 be passed.

“At a time when older Australians are facing mounting cost-of-living pressures, the government is still trying to press ahead with a proposal that will force many pensioners and lower-income Australians to pay more to keep the health cover they have maintained throughout their lives,” CEO Matthew Koce said.

The bill would standardise the private health insurance rebate by income alone, removing the higher rates currently available to older Australians. It takes effect April 1, 2027 – the same date as the industry’s annual premium adjustment cycle.

Read next: Older clients, higher costs: why brokers can’t wait for the Senate

The cohort in the crosshairs

Around 3 million older Australians hold private health insurance. Approximately 1.5 million of those are age pensioners, according to the Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO), which estimated age pensioners will bear roughly half the cost burden of the rebate cut.

Under current settings, Australians aged 65 to 69 receive a base-tier rebate of 28.139%, while those aged 70 and over receive 32.158%. Both groups would drop to the under-65 rate of 24.118%.

Modelling by Private Healthcare Australia shows what that means when combined with the April 2027 premium round:

Based on average Gold single cover of $3,790 and Silver single cover of $1,854. Source: Private Healthcare Australia, May 2026.

Koce said the people most exposed are those least able to absorb the increase. “Many of these Australians did exactly what successive governments encouraged them to do. They took responsibility for their healthcare, paid private health insurance premiums for decades, and helped relieve pressure on the public health system. They are now being asked to pay the price for a budget decision that will remove support at the very time they need healthcare the most,” he said.

The downgrade problem

The more immediate commercial risk for brokers is not cancellations. It is clients moving down tiers to manage costs and losing access to procedures they held PHI to cover.

Gold cover includes joint replacements and cataract surgery. According to National Seniors Australia’s submission to the Senate committee, downgrading to Silver may leave policyholders without coverage for those procedures. On average, the price difference between Gold and Silver single cover is around $1,936 per year, based on Private Healthcare Australia’s published averages – though individual policies vary.

That trade-off is becoming harder to avoid. The proportion of Australians holding Gold cover has already fallen from 40% in 2020 to 30% in 2025, according to CHOICE. Gold-tier policies absorbed average increases of 13.3% from major funds in the April 2026 premium round, against a 4.41% industry average.

Catholic Health Australia’s independent modelling estimated one in five affected over-65s will change their level of cover in the first three years, projecting approximately 665,000 downgrades – significantly higher than the government's assumption of one in 75, according to the Coalition’s dissenting report to the Senate committee.

System-wide consequences

Members Health warned the consequences of the bill extend beyond those directly affected. “When private health insurance becomes less affordable, healthcare demand does not disappear. More Australians will be forced to consider downgrading or dropping their cover, pushing additional demand onto public hospitals that are already under significant pressure,” Koce said.

Catholic Health Australia told the Senate committee the bill removes revenue from a private hospital sector that recorded a $756 million operating loss in 2024-25, with the sharpest impact on standalone regional facilities where older patients dominate admissions – a finding cited in the Coalition’s dissenting report.

Medibank separately warned the Senate committee that declining participation in comprehensive products concentrates costs among fewer policyholders, placing upward pressure on premiums across all age groups.

Read next: PHI rebate forecasts diverge on older Australians leaving cover

Rare political alignment

Members Health noted the breadth of opposition to the legislation, pointing to the Coalition and Australian Greens both filing dissenting reports. “It is rare to see such broad agreement across the Parliament, but the Coalition and the Greens are right to recognise the significant impact these rebate cuts will have on lower-income Australians and the public health system,” Koce said.

Coalition senators cited a 2023 independent report by Finity Consulting, commissioned by the Department of Health, which found the age-based rebate provides “good value” and that removing it would produce declining value for government. The Greens raised concern about the impact on pensioners and part-pensioners on fixed incomes.

The committee, which recommended the bill be passed, noted PHI participation is projected to grow by 3.5% between 2025-26 and 2028-29, with the Department of Health’s modelling projecting approximately 44,000 fewer adults aged 65 and over holding cover by 2028-29.

Members Health called on crossbench senators to consider that position carefully. “The Senate now has an opportunity to stand with older Australians, listen to community concerns, and reject a proposal that will make healthcare less affordable for pensioners and place further pressure on an already strained public hospital system,” Koce said.

The bill still requires a Senate floor vote. If it passes, the April 2027 deadline is fixed – and for broker books with concentrations of older Gold-tier clients, the review window is narrowing.

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