Why the P&C insurance market's soft rates mask coverage risk

As P&C market premiums fall, insurers are narrowing the coverage terms on offer at renewal

Why the P&C insurance market's soft rates mask coverage risk

Property

By Mark Rosanes

Softer conditions in the P&C insurance market are making commercial insurance renewal conversations easier in 2026. What is harder to spot is how much coverage may have changed alongside the premium. 

Justin Foa (pictured), executive vice president and national property and casualty practice leader at Alera Group, explains where the two diverge. He also explains why trimming limits in today's litigation environment carries more risk than most buyers recognize.

Softer rates, tighter policy language

"A client paying a lower premium for the same coverage as last year is clearly in a better place," Foa said. "But a client paying the same premium while transferring more, and more significant, risk might be in an even better one."

Even as headline rates fall, the coverage being offered at renewal is not always what it was last year. Insurers are tightening policy language and adding insurance policy exclusions to protect margins. In its 2026 P&C Market Update, the Alera Group notes that insurers are narrowing coverage through exclusions as rates soften across the market.

"It's a broker's job to flag differences between insurer offerings and negotiate them away," Foa said. "We're constantly helping insureds quantify the risks being added to their policies, as some exclusions or coverage limitations are negligible, while others could be catastrophic."

The gap between a negligible exclusion and a catastrophic one is not visible in the premium. A broker who cannot make that call leaves clients exposed at commercial insurance renewal.

"A good broker gives you an apples-to-apples comparison," Foa said. "A great broker helps you see when an underwriter is offering a big credit to exclude what the client already knows is a negligible risk. In those cases, I'd encourage insureds to consider self-insuring risk the market has significantly overpriced, as long as they understand the tradeoff."

That same logic applies in reverse. When an underwriter is restricting coverage for a risk that is improbable but potentially devastating for the client, Foa says the broker's job is to make the case.

"We're trying to explain to underwriters where they might be excluding or limiting coverage for a risk that's highly improbable but catastrophic for the client," he said. "If we do our job, the insurer should be able to price that risk attractively and still make money, and clients are willing to cover these improbable scenarios when they perceive the price is right."
That negotiation, Foa said, is the broker's core job: finding the best blend of premium and coverage for the client, not just the lowest rate.

How data quality shapes underwriter interest

The way underwriters evaluate a submission has changed. Automated platforms now grade incoming risk data and rank it instantly. Where a submission lands in the queue, Foa notes, depends directly on what it contains.

"This has changed the entire cadence of insurance brokerage," Foa said. "Underwriters used to be willing to consider a risk with incomplete information, triaging it to see whether it was worth compiling a complete risk profile and issuing a quote. That's still possible, but the automated nature of intake means a more complete submission now gets more interest from underwriters and more quotes."

In practice, a better-prepared submission attracts more quotes. An incomplete one ranks lower, regardless of the underlying risk quality.

The question then is what "complete" actually means. Foa explains that it goes beyond assembling accurate data.

"Now, the question is what counts as 'complete'?" he said. "It's a submission that anticipates all the information underwriters now have at their disposal, and that helps explain how certain perceived risks are actually nonexistent or have already been mitigated."

The Alera Group’s P&C market update makes the same point. Digital platforms now score incoming submissions automatically, and data quality determines where they land. Submissions that fall short on credibility go to the bottom of the pile. The report recommends digitized safety protocols, documented loss control investments, and a clear executive summary as the foundation of a competitive submission.

That makes preparation a competitive lever for brokers working across the P&C insurance market. A submission that explains the story behind the numbers will outperform one that simply reports them.

Nuclear verdicts redefine the right limit

Umbrella and excess liability insurance is the sharpest example of why "soft market" is not a universal description across the P&C insurance market. Average rates for that line climbed 11 percent in the first half of 2026, according to Alera Group's market update. Commercial property premiums fell 4 percent over the same period.

Foa traces the pressure to structural changes in how plaintiffs fund and pursue litigation.

"The poster child for this trend is excess general and auto liability limits," he said. "Pricing keeps rising due to social inflation and litigation finance. The risk purchasing groups that used to provide smaller clients $100 million of coverage for a few thousand dollars are largely gone."

The exit of those groups has pushed clients to reconsider their limits at commercial insurance renewal. Foa explains that a smaller client that bought $100 million in coverage simply because it was cheap should reconsider. But for organizations with meaningful assets, the math works differently.

"The frequency of nuclear (over $10 million) and thermonuclear (over $100 million) verdicts is exploding, and that's pushing insurers to settle for more, even when their liability is dubious," Foa said.

That trend is well documented. Litigation Sentinel recorded 149 nuclear verdicts in 2025, up from 44 in 2020, according to CaseGlide. The increase changes how plaintiff attorneys assess what limits to pursue.

"An attorney might happily take a $25 million settlement if that's all that's available when they think the claim is worth $30 million, because of the ease of collection and speed of resolution," Foa said. "But if they think the claim is worth $50 million, they'll take a hard look at the defendant's assets, and if those assets are sizable, they'll likely see them as fair game for settlement or verdict satisfaction."

The broker conversation, then, is not only about what limits cost. It is about what assets the client is leaving exposed if those limits fall short.

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